feat: #24 HIDDEN_COLLAPSE_INTERMITTENT_CLIFF — close estimation lane - #749
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Fix H1–H3 before computing (hidden collapse, intermittent smooth duty cycle, family/role mediation). Exact IIT-4.0 labels; cheap MI screen under observation masks. Analysis script ready; no results yet. Co-authored-by: Roger Hunt <rogerSuperBuilderAlpha@users.noreply.github.com>
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Exact Φ labels; mean-MI under full/hidden/intermittent masks on family_n3. Hide party collapses AUC 0.922→0.547; δ≥0.10 holds then cliffs at δ=0; hide mediator ≈ full. H1/H3 supported, H2 refuted. Register reproduce; update ESTIMATION_ARC and agenda. Co-authored-by: Roger Hunt <rogerSuperBuilderAlpha@users.noreply.github.com>
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…README/research index Co-authored-by: Roger Hunt <rogerSuperBuilderAlpha@users.noreply.github.com>
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Summary
Closes RESEARCH_AGENDA_50_V2 #24 on partial observation / estimability.
Verdict:
HIDDEN_COLLAPSE_INTERMITTENT_CLIFFUpdates
ESTIMATION_ARC.md(lane closed with #21–#25), agenda #24 answered, CI reproduce registered. Closed lanes stay closed. Best next: optional M3 overlay subset-Φ fidelity (or a new agenda gap). No Hegel/Substack.Study
org_frontier/studies/partial_observation_screen/Test plan
python org_frontier/studies/partial_observation_screen/analyze_partial_obs.pypython ci/reproduce.py partial-observation-screenbuild_map.py --check/build_index.py --check/ research index--check